Effective: Monday, July 21
Overview:
Easing heights...more waves from the SPAC by mid-week details below.
Seasonal heat and humidity continues with evening light show potential. Winds are light and variable early with generally weak sea-breezes coming on by mid-morning.
This Week:
A series of storms have set up more fun SW swell for this week. Fausto's waves are rapidly on the decline Monday, but they still produce some short period south sets for the few wide-open breaks - mainly Punta De Mita, and spots well north...but with the short period phase of the swell, beachbreaks would be best on this - point-breaks should be weak in power.
Fun SW(210) swell rolls in Tuesday with chest high range waves by afternoon; peaking Wednesday producing waist-shoulder/head high waves for the best summer breaks.
A stronger SW(210) builds slowly Thursday as long periods fill in. By Friday, this swell works with the leftovers to produce shoulder/head high+ range waves for the best exposures, with sets potentially coming through on occasion to a foot-two overhead. Fun sized waves linger into the weekend, but sizes decrease.

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The larger sets typically favor the tidal push. Points and reefs will focus the energy as well for bigger sets at times.
Tropical:
Hurricane Fausto's waves decline - pretty quickly Monday - as previously mentioned. Another area of weather is coming together off very SW Mex, so we could have another named storm soon....we'll see. For the latest on the tropicals, check out the NHC's track/intensity forecasts. The best case is a storm on a B-Line towards Puerto Vallarta.
Long Range:
At this point the forecasted pattern over the SPAC is looking less favorable for next week, as the cyclone track shifts into the Eastern part of the basin. That translates into swells with a sharper south approach angle, not great for the area surrounding Costa Azul.
Things may change, so be checking back. Plus, with the active tropics...who knows what could crop up?!
CFOX
Next update: Thursday, July 24 |